grocery shortages 2022
Because it is 33% less efficient than petroleum gasoline miles driven from ethanol is less than 10%. [8] Though initial international responses to the food crisis suggested that some suppliers or harvests may alleviate global shortages and price increases (e.g. The shortage has continued through the pandemic, and a reduced supply of products like tomato paste, canned vegetables and soda is likely to stay the norm. Climate change is another major factor impacting worldwide hunger and food shortages. Hummus lovers may want to stock up on the protein-packed dip sooner rather than later. Andrew Tobisch, a spokesperson for Schreiber Foods, saidevery cream cheese provider has struggled to keep up with demand. It's very, very serious. CO2 supplies have reportedly been unstable for years due to supply chain issues sparked by the pandemic. [170], On 29 October 2022, Russia suspends participation in grain initiative. U.S. groceries typically have 5% to 10% of their items out of stock at any given time; right now, that unavailability rate is hovering around 15%, according to Consumer Brands Association President and CEO Geoff Freeman. [36], Prior to the start of the demonstrations, preceding and during International Workers' Day on May 1, Iran preemptively detained 38 teachers[37] in order to stymie planned nationwide protests during National Teachers' Day on May 2. A worker shortage across production, meatpacking, shipping, and in stores themselves is leading to more and more missing items at the grocery store . One way to prepare for potential shortages of food items youve grown to depend on is to buy a little extra now in case the items aren't available later on. Copyright 2023 Market Realist. [1][2][3][4][5][6] Much of the concern is related to supply shortages of key commodity crops, such as wheat, corn, and oil seeds, which could cause price increases. The American government suspended imports of Mexican avocados earlier this year after a U.S plant safety inspector based in Mexico received a threat. Grocery price inflation rose to 17.1% in the four weeks to 19 February, the highest level ever recorded by Kantar. The Global Food and Nutrition Security Dashboard is a key tool to fast-track a rapid response to the unfolding global food security crisis. This year still has a few unwelcome surprises in store(s). fast-food chains cutting back on chicken items. Here are some of the reasons why Updated January 12, 20224:37 PM ET Joe Hernandez Twitter Enlarge this image The milk shelf is mostly empty at a Giant. The most recent Food Price Monitoring and Analysis Bulletin released by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) revealed mixed trends for international cereal prices in January 2023. Though grocery store shelves may not be this empty, food shortages are expected at the end of 2022 and in 2023. "[96] The impact of agricultural input costs, including fertilizer and fuels, on food prices has been shown to be larger than the effect of the curtailment of food exports from Russia and Ukraine. 7 trends that will shape the grocery industry in 2022 Labor and inflation challenges will test retailers this year, but experts also see opportunities like new e-commerce services, more personalized offerings and a booming digital ads space. The high demand has resulted in larger purchases. The USDA reported that milk is still in short supply compared to years prior, in small part because of reduced cow herds and in much larger part due to ongoing transportation, labor, and packaging shortages. The price of liquified petroleum gas (LPG) also increased 12% by March. The recent baby formula recall has created even more pressure for parents across the country. Share what items you are having a hard time findingand how inflation is hitting your wallet on the form below. She pointed to lumber as an example of a product that was extremely hard to get for a while, but has become more plentiful in recent months, and the food supply chain likely will rebound in a similar fashion, although it may take time. Meat and poultry processing plants have been especially hard hit in . While items are harder to find, many also cost more with rising inflation. [12] Some analysts described the price increases as the worst since the 20072008 world food price crisis. With nearly 2,000 stores across 36 states, ALDI is on track to become the third-largest grocery retailer by store count by the end of 2022. single Shutterstock. People may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. [87], The inflation in food prices is thought to be behind an increasing number of supermarket credit cards issued in 2022 as well as increasing rates of supermarket credit card debt default. The candy manufacturer explained that the war in Ukraine has made raw ingredients such as edible oil and cocoa harder to come by, and at the same time, it has faced astonishing demand over the past year. Global reserves of wheat were extremely low at the beginning of 2022 because of these weather events. [8] The supply chain crisis was also one factor in infant formula shortages in the US. Grocery store shortages are back. More Food Shortages After Omicron Hits Stores From U.S. to Australia. That's up from 6.8% annually in November, which was also a nearly four-decade high. [159], On 18 May 2022, the US announced $215 million in development assistance to mitigate the crises. [71] On 9 May, Sri Lankan Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa resigned from his position after protests on the country's economic crisis turned violent. Believe it or not, carbon dioxide is also a core ingredient in the production of many frozen foods, including store-bought frozen pizza. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. [102], A potential disruption to global wheat supplies could exacerbate the ongoing hunger crisis in Yemen,[103] Afghanistan[104][105] and East Africa. Canned fruits and vegetables, peanut butter, beans and lentils, baby formula, pet food, and shelf-stable proteins and milk products are good choices. Demand has been very, very high, Denis says. [75][76] According to Julia Meehan, the head of fertilizers for the commodity price firm ICIS, "We are seeing record prices for every fertilizer type, which are all way above the previous highs in 2008. Download the latest brief on rising food insecurity and World Bank responses, The agricultural, cereal, and export price indices remained stable over the last two weeks, with the agricultural and export price indices closing 1% higher, and the cereal price index closing at the same level. [123], A drought in East Africa began in 2021 and further intensified in 2022, precipitated in part by the oncoming La Nia in 2022. The chief agricultural economist for Wells Fargo stated that Ukraine will likely be severely limited in their ability to plant crops in spring 2022 and lose an agricultural year, while an embargo on Russian crops would create more inflation of food prices. [8] This is expected to further hurt prices in regional food markets, such as Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, and South Sudan. [51], The main cause of the famine in Yemen is the ongoing Yemeni Civil War. Be mindful of your fellow shoppers and only take what you really need. Global food supplies could get tighter next year. This means many tomato-based products including ketchup, pasta sauce, and salsa could become less available in the coming months. Alexey Furman / Stringer / Getty Images. [138] The heat wave occurred mostly during the final weeks of the wheat growing season, killing the plants shortly before harvest. We are experiencing obstacles in the production and shipping of some of our products as the pandemic continues to cause issues with the supply chain. 267.30. "The industry continues to face . Drought in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), terrestrial precipitation, evaporation and soil moisture, Last edited on 28 February 2023, at 17:46, followed food security and economic crises during the COVID-19 pandemic, Food security during the COVID-19 pandemic, Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, Economic impact of the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine Cost of food and crops, Climate change in the Middle East and North Africa, 2022 IndiaPakistan heat wave Impact on agriculture, "War has brought the world to the brink of a food crisis", "U.N. to Keep Beasley at WFP as Food Crises Roil the World", "What the Russian invasion of Ukraine could mean for global hunger", "Ukraine War Threatens to Cause a Global Food Crisis", "The Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Its Implications for the Global Food Supply Chains", "Food prices jump 20.7% yr/yr to hit record high in Feb, U.N. agency says", "How The Russia-Ukraine War Has Compounded The Global Food Crisis", "Global food security: These are the main challenges to feeding the world and how we can solve them", "As many as 28 million people across East Africa at risk of extreme hunger if rains fail again", "Madagascar: Families eating mud due to worst drought in 40 years", "As Russia's invasion roils supply chains, the world grows hungrier", "Ukraine war 'aggravating' existing global food crisis, UN warns", "A world of hurt: 2021 climate disasters raise alarm over food security", "Economic protests challenge Iran's leaders as hopes for nuclear deal fade", "Sudanese demonstrate high commodity prices as police crackdown on protesters", "Iraq food protests against spiralling prices echo early stages of the Arab Spring", "Rising fuel and food costs spark protests in Albania, government imposes price controls", "Insane scenes in Indonesia as huge numbers protest over cooking oil prices", "Deadly protests in Peru as people take to streets over high costs, inflation", "Thousands march in Quito after night of Ecuador protest violence", "Panama to regulate prices of 72 food items to ease rising living costs", "Inflation and food prices fuel social tension in Argentina", "Factbox: Surging food prices fuel protests across developing world", "Historic drought looms for 20 million living in Horn of Africa", "East Africa's Growing Food Crisis: What to Know", "Protests Ignite In Southern Iran Against Government Price Hikes", "The Ebrahim Raisi government just jacked up food prices. The Washingtonian, a newspaper that covers the D.C. area, published a list of grocery stores with what products are in short supply, out of stock, and restocked. Sign up here, Grocery stores are facing a food shortage:Here are 11 online grocery delivery services to shop instead. In 2021 over 5 billion kiwifruits were picked, but weather and a lack of labor have officials expecting fewer, so don't be alarmed if the produce section has a scarce selection. She can usually be found researching global cuisines, at the farmers market, doing yoga, or looking up new places to travel to. Overall, FAOs analysis indicates that high prices have persisted for the past three months despite some evidence of easing from 2022 peaks in certain countries, with rice price hikes mostly responsible for sustained high cereal prices. [150], In China, rolling lockdowns as part of a zero-COVID policy significantly reduced key agricultural inputs for important grain crops. Ethanol, aka alcohol, is used for a variety of products. Around $120 million worth of the fruit makes its way to the U.S. each year, but the harvest so far in 2022 has not reached its usual potential, Bloomberg reports. At times like this you need to curb food waste, keep these tips handy to avoid throwing away food. Many food producers have had to scale back or shut down production due to COVID outbreaks and labor shortages at their plants. Know of more? This site uses cookies to optimize functionality and give you the best possible experience. The world has grown somewhat accustomed to shortages of certain food items and other products since the COVID-19 pandemic began. [127][128], In mid-2021, a severe drought in southern Madagascar caused hundreds of thousands of people to suffer from food insecurity. Marcie Rivera, a spokesperson for Wegmans told the MetroWest Daily News in Framingham, Massachusetts, part of the USA TODAY Network, that suppliers around the world "are being faced with an array of challenges affecting their businesses, causing a domino effect on retailers and customers.". The emerging crisis now is a bit different. But There's Still Reason to Be Hopeful", "Climate Change Threatens the World's Food Supply, United Nations Warns", "Europe's heat and drought crop losses tripled in 50 years: study", "Severity of drought and heatwave crop losses tripled over the last five decades in Europe", "Water scarcity predicted to worsen in more than 80% of croplands globally this century", "Global Agricultural Water Scarcity Assessment Incorporating Blue and Green Water Availability Under Future Climate Change", "Severe water shortages strain wheat harvest in Iraq", "Severe drought threatens 13 million with hunger in Horn of Africa", "Ethiopia's 'sophisticated campaign' to withhold food, fuel and other aid from Tigray", "Hunger-struck Africa needs liquidity, debt relief", "Somalia faces worst famine in half a century, UN warns", "Somalia on the brink of famine, caught between drought and Shabaab militia", "UN says 400,000 are approaching starvation in Madagascar amid back-to-back droughts", "Hope and hunger: Life at a crossroads in Madagascar's arid south", "Madagascar: 23 millions de dollars pour lutter contre la famine des enfants", "Why famine in Madagascar is an alarm bell for the planet", "Extreme winter drought devastates crops in Spain and Portugal", "Late frost ices over French vineyards, threatens fruit crops", "Italy declares state of emergency in drought-hit northern regions", "EXCLUSIVE India acts to seize gap in wheat export market left by Ukraine war", "The Extreme Heat Pummeling India and Pakistan Is About to Get Worse", "India offered to help fix the global food crisis. According to its report , which surveyed 1,000 US adults, 41% reported that their prospective purchases across all retail segments were hindered by shortages in March 2022, an increase from 36% of . The World Health Organization (WHO) recently issued a warning that food shortages are coming towards the end of 2022 and into 2023, WIBX950 reported. The price of cooking oil per barrel was $700 then, it went up to $1,940 prior to the invasion. [54], International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasted Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Bangladesh to rise to 5.9% by the year 2022. This shortagestems from lumber's raw material, wood pulp, which is usedto make toilet paper. Chinese Hoarding", "China is in Hoarding Mode Right Now, And It's Pushing Grain Prices to Historic Highs", "As Global Food Crisis Looms, Groups Blast Proposed $1.65 Billion USDA Cut", "Stepping Up to Prevent a Global Famine - World | ReliefWeb", "Britain, Germany push G7 for halt to biofuel mandates to tame food prices", "Food vs fuel: Ukraine war sharpens debate on use of crops for energy", "Guest view: Global hunger fight means no biofuel", "Cutting biofuels can help avoid global food shock from Ukraine war", Russia abandons Black Sea outpost of Snake Island in victory for Ukraine, "Ukraine says Russian missiles hit Odesa port; landmark grain deal at risk", "First Ukraine grain ship set to sail; grain tycoon killed in Russia strike", "Two more grain ships leave Ukraine, Turkey's defence ministry says", "Exclusive: Zelenskiy suggests resuming Russia ammonia exports in exchange for POWs, Kremlin says no", "Russia halts Ukraine Black Sea grain exports, prompting food crisis concerns", "Russia Agrees to Resume Ukraine Grain Export Deal; Wheat Tumbles", "Ukraine war has stoked global food crisis that could last years, says UN", "World Bank Announces Planned Actions for Global Food Crisis Response", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=20222023_food_crises&oldid=1142129886, This page was last edited on 28 February 2023, at 17:46. Experts are anticipating an upcoming shortage of turkey, primarily due to a bird flu outbreak that has run rampant this year. Follow USA TODAY reporter Kelly Tyko on Twitter:@KellyTyko. [134] Fruit crops in most of Europe were damaged by a cold wave that caused freezing rain, frost, and snow during early budding, after a period of unseasonably early warm weather. [115] In 2019 it was predicted that food prices would rise by 80% by 2050. Here are a few foods which have recently been added to the endangered items list and could be hard to find as we brace for colder weather and the holiday season. These 5 States Are Slashing Grocery Taxes, Do not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Here's why it backtracked", "GRAINS-Soybeans steady as South America rain chances assessed", "Heatwave to hit Argentina, further stressing corn, soybean crops", "Argentine crops in 'grave danger;' Brazilian estimates fall", "Floods and livestock losses leave NSW and Queensland farmers reeling from third disaster in three years", "The banks collapsed in 2008 and our food system is about to do the same | George Monbiot", "China's zero-Covid policy risks causing agricultural crisis and food shortages", "China hoards over half the world's grain, pushing up global prices", "Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)", "Alternative Fuels Data Center: Maps and Data - U.S. Corn Production and Portion Used for Fuel Ethanol", "Biofuels are accelerating the food crisis and the climate crisis,", "Prices: China grabs more than half of the world's wheat", "One Reason for Rising Food Prices? If youre hoping to stay out of grocery stores for safety reasons, these stores offer delivery and pickup. The nation is in the early stages of a Champagne shortage that is expected to last several years, according to Wine Enthusiast. Share this article. Americans are eating at home more than they used to, especially since offices and some schools remain closed. More consumers have opted to enjoy their favorite beverages in the comfort of their homes causing a higher demand for canned drinks. Things like the pandemic, labor shortages and supply chain disruptions are all hurdles that everyone is having to overcome,"Tobisch said in an email to USA TODAY. Current Food Shortages Meat shortages, especially beef and poultry, will plague us again in 2022. And dont hesitate to ask your local grocer about item availability. [152], Ethanol fuel makes up about 10% of motor vehicle gasoline produced and consumed in 2021, and around 40% of corn grown is used for ethanol fuel in the United States each year. But cream cheese has also been missing at stores, particularly Philadelphia Cream Cheese. Experts say the current food shortages were probably triggered by poor harvests amid extreme weather conditions and have been . navigator.sendBeacon('https://www.google-analytics.com/collect', payload); Eden Green suggests shopping locally to help limit dependence on global supply chains. [49] [50]The U.N. Development Program said rising food and energy prices caused by Covid-19 and the Russian war in Ukraine hit Sub-Saharan Africa hardest. States including South Dakota, Ohio, Nebraska, and Indiana are currently showing yields below last year's average, and in Illinois and Iowa, scouts found more of the same. [122] Additionally, Iraq's water security is based on the declining TigrisEuphrates river system. The shortages have also made buying food increasingly more expensive going into 2022. Sept. 27, 202102:50. All the while, demand for the item continues to skyrocket. Data and research help us understand these challenges and set priorities, share knowledge of what works, and measure progress. For shopping news, tips and deals, join us onourShopping Ninjas Facebook group. However, this shortage has shown signs of improvement, and CO2 levels are additionally expected to return to normal by mid-October. Upcoming football watch parties and tailgates could be lacking in the beverage department as a beer shortage looms. . Patrick Penfield, professor of supply chain practice at Syracuse Universitys Whitman School of Management, recently told USA TODAY that cream cheese and international foods were among the food products in short supply. For months, parents have reported trouble finding Kraft Heinz' Lunchables. Measured by the change in the ndice de Precios al Consumidor, the (IPC) in March 2022 relative to March 2021 indicated an inflation rate of 1.9%, the highest known since October 1993. [68], Extreme price increases for cooking oil sparked student protests and other civil unrest. [5][6], Even before the invasion, food prices were already at record highs. Salt water intrusion is expected to greatly reduce the viability of crop production in areas near the delta. Proportion of people experiencing shortages of food items has risen over the last year, ONS says. Of the 30 stores listed, almost . This created a problem as the Comit Interprofessionnel du Vin de Champagne (CIVC), the trade organization for the Champagne region, set a lower production cap based on the reduced demand. In addition, about 87.3% of high-income countries are experiencing high food price inflation. [147] Drought made 28% of the agricultural territory of Brazil "no longer climatically optimal"[113], A severe flood in New South Wales during February 2022 caused the complete destruction of soy and rice crops and 36% of macadamia nut production. 2023 USA TODAY, a division of Gannett Satellite Information Network, LLC. Some retailers have been limiting purchases of select items, similar to policies implemented at the start of the pandemic. Amid shortages of some items, food inflation reached a record high in the UK during November. [114] In 2019, millions were already suffering from food insecurity due to climate change. New Oreo flavor:Oreo releasing a limited-edition Chocolate Confetti Cake Cookie for its 110th birthday, Lettuce recall 2022:Dole recalls salad sold at Walmart, Kroger, Aldi, H-E-B for listeria risk. Market Realist is a registered trademark. Unfortunately, a shortage of corn also means a possible shortage of many of its beloved byproducts such as cereals, corn syrup, and everybody's favorite movie snackpopcorn. Many USA TODAY readers said canned or wet cat food was one of the top items they have been struggling to find. Restringen venta de productos esenciales en supermercados de la capital", "How a century of ammonia synthesis changed the world", "Soaring fertilizer prices put global food security at risk", "China's Coal Shortage Threatens Farmers in India and Truckers in South Korea", "Increasing food prices may cause up to a million deaths in 2023, even if Ukraine food exports are restored", "Russia bans ammonium nitrate exports until April to support domestic farmers", "Ukraine Invasion Threatens Global Wheat Supply", "Ukraine War to Compound Hunger, Poverty in Africa, Experts Say", "The World's Next Food Emergency Is Here as War Compounds Hunger Crisis", "Crisis in Ukraine Drives Food Prices Higher Around World", "UN food agency official alarmed by Afghan food, fuel prices", "Russia's invasion of Ukraine will likely ratchet American food prices even higher, experts say", "How tensions in Ukraine could rile Egypt", "202221 [General Administration of Customs Notification 21/2022]", "China lifts all wheat-import restrictions on Russia amid Ukraine crisis", "Climate Change and the Global Food Supply", "Food security and food production systems", "Climate Change Is Likely to Devastate the Global Food Supply. [129][130] In October 2022, UNICEF contributed with $23 millions for children suffering from the famine,[131] with a third of the population suffering from the disaster, according to researchers cited by the Financial Times. "Looking ahead to the Thanksgiving holiday, we believe that the impacts from the latest outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in the U.S., combined with skyrocketing production costs, have led to a declining domestic turkey flock, lower meat supplies, and higher prices," Walter Kunisch, senior commodities strategist at Hilltop Securities Commodities, told FOX Business. ALDI has set the industry standard for quality and affordability. every day. At the same time early rainfall in India was 71% lower than the norm. Here are someof the food and supply shortages USA TODAY reporters spotted or that readers from across the country told us about. Meat manufacturers have cited extreme weather, labor shortages and high demand among the reasons consumers are having trouble finding tenders. According to Business Insider, nearly half of Americans in a survey reported seeing a shortage of meat and eggs in the beginning of 2022. [113] The UN identified 20 million people at risk of famine. Its not like at the beginning of the pandemic when people went out and cleared shelves to stockpile and panicked.. Consumers are also feeling the impact. The statement calls to prevent a worsening of the food and nutrition security crisis, further urgent actions are required to (i) rescue hunger hotspots, (ii) facilitate trade, improve the functioning of markets, and enhance the role of the private sector, and (iii) reform and repurpose harmful subsidies with careful targeting and efficiency. The El Nio Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently in the La Nia phase, but a transition to a neutral ENSO state is likely, with a 73% chance of ENSO-neutral conditions from February through April. On top of the weather problems, the war in Ukraine and supply chain issues have additionally contributed to a hike in olive oil prices. Even with this updated information, it may still be a good idea to grab your Hershey favorites such as Reese's, Twizzlers, and Heath bars a little early this year. [60], The price increases connected to Russia's invasion of Ukraine may worsen the economic crises in Afghanistan that followed the US withdrawal. Published on September 21, 2022 | 9:50 AM Shutterstock Much like taxes, grocery shortages have become an unpleasant certainty over the past several years. The years from 2020-2021 were the driest in centuries in North America. If that's not enough, beer companies are additionally navigating the ongoing aluminum can shortage. [163] A 50% reduction in grain used for biofuels in the US and Europe would replace all of Ukraine's grain exports. "While that demand has been steady, its really world events that are the biggest driver. Of all the potential food shortages that may happen in 2023, a beef shortage may be the easiest to predict. xhr.open('POST', 'https://www.google-analytics.com/collect', true); [32][33] The protests were part of a countrywide wave of protests beginning in July 2021. [6], Wheat prices surged to their highest prices since 2008 in response to the 2022 attacks. Overall take-home grocery sales also increased by 8.8% in the four week period, and by 8.1% over the 12 weeks. Our entire supply chain continues to step up taking actions that protect our business today, while working hard to not delay critical investments that set us up for the future,Kraft Heinz said in the statement. Daniels says that meat and poultry are in short supply in many supermarkets. The weather hasn't been kind across the western part of the country either, and specifically in California, tomato plants have taken a devastating hit. WPF Chief Economist Arif Husain said that the number of people facing acute food insecurity had doubled since the pandemic from 135 million to 276 million. Australia and Mexico have also dealt with weather problems, including flooding, this year, hampering their own yields of the crop. Offers may be subject to change without notice. Protests were initially concentrated in the water-stricken province of Khuzestan,[34] but rapidly spread nationwide. [48], Northern Kenya is experiencing the worst drought in 40 years that is leaving 4.4 million people acutely food insecure, with 1.2 million facing emergency hunger levels. [106] The American Bakers Association president warned that the price of anything made with grain would begin rising as all the grain markets are interrelated. It's being called "Egg Armageddon," says Food Safety News, and it has to do with 2016 legislation that's taking effect on January 1, 2022. After some signs of a slow and cautious return to pre-pandemic normalcy last year, 2022 is looking remarkably like fall 2020and that means supply issues at grocery stores. 8. Shortages can be driven by supply chain issues, consumer behavior, or environmental factors, so its hard to pinpoint what will be affected next.. Shopping locally to help limit dependence on global supply chains has struggled to up! That may happen in 2023, a division of Gannett Satellite Information Network, LLC level ever recorded by.! To stay out of grocery stores for safety reasons, these stores offer delivery and pickup for safety,. Eden Green suggests shopping locally to help limit dependence on global supply chains demand for the item continues to.. To supply chain crisis was also a core ingredient in the coming months grain.! 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Deals, join us onourShopping Ninjas Facebook group Eden Green suggests shopping to. Increased by 8.8 % in the production of many frozen Foods, saidevery grocery shortages 2022 cheese also made buying food more! Consumers have opted to enjoy their favorite beverages in the four weeks to 19 February, the us announced 215! Are 11 online grocery delivery services to shop instead especially beef and poultry processing plants been! Americans are eating at home more than they used to, especially beef and poultry are short... Than 10 % shortages were probably triggered by poor harvests amid extreme weather conditions and have.! Civil War potential food shortages were probably triggered by poor harvests amid extreme weather, shortages. Been especially hard hit in share what items you are having a hard time findingand how inflation is your... 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